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Abstract

The abundance and properties of low-mass dark matter subhalos can be inferred by measuring the density and velocity structure of stellar streams, testing physical models of dark matter. Which streams make the most promising dark matter detectors, and which subhalos would they encounter? We use the semi-analytic model galacticus to simulate the Milky Way's dark subhalos, including tidal stripping under the influence of the galactic disk. Deriving stream initial conditions that best match present-day observations, we forecast subhalo encounters for 24 globular cluster streams around the Milky Way. Over their lifetimes, the 10 most perturbed streams are predicted to each experience $\approx 2$-$12$ significant subhalo encounters with velocity kicks $v_\mathrm{kick} > 0.1$ km s$^{-1}$. Jet, AAU, GD-1, and Palomar 5 lead the list, with Jet encountering twice the subhalos of any other stream. The subhalos that encounter streams have been tidally stripped to $1$-$20\%$ of their peak mass and are twice as compact as previous works have assumed. A spectroscopic survey of streams with sub-km s$^{-1}$ precision could reveal the influence of dark subhalos below the threshold of galaxy formation. Predicting the abundance and scatter of low-mass subhalos that reach the inner galaxy remains a dominant uncertainty in connecting stellar streams to models of dark matter.

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